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Bitcoin Faces Key Test: Buyers Return, But Trend Won’t Change Until $78,000

am 12. 3. 2026 veröffentlicht von

Coingarage Exchange

Bitcoin Faces Key Test: Buyers Return, But Trend Won’t Change Until $78,000


After weeks of uncertainty and consolidation, Bitcoin buyers appear to be regaining control of the market. However, analysts warn that the main obstacle to overcoming the long-term bearish trend is breaking the important $78,000 level. If this key zone is overcome, we can expect a more significant turnaround and a new era of growth.


Demand Returns, Technical Signals Encourage the Market


After falling below $60,000, the price of Bitcoin has recovered by 17%, signaling a revival in investor interest. On-chain statistics data show that demand is starting to return, with net buyer volume, a measure of the imbalance between buyers and sellers in derivatives markets, remaining positive since the conflict began. Coinbureau CEO Nic Puckrin even said that “buyers are in control,” which is an encouraging sign for those who believe in a possible trend reversal.


Bullish Score Index and ETFs Show Hope


The Bullish Score Index methodology, which combines fundamental and technical indicators, has moved from “extra bearish” to “bearish,” suggesting that the market is now in a bearish period, but not in full bullish mode. Demand for spot Bitcoin ETFs continues to grow, with tens of millions of dollars flowing into the market every day, boosting investor confidence.


Challenges on the way to the key $78,000 level


While the market sentiment is encouraging, the price of BTC is still stuck in the $62,000-$72,000 range. The price has been trying to hold above $70,000, but repeated failures suggest that a break above $78,000 is needed to trigger a major trend change. According to data from TradingView, Bitcoin is trading between an average cost price of $54,400 and an actual market average of $78,000, suggesting that the market is still in consolidation mode.


What’s next?


Traders and analysts are warning that a break above $78,000 could signal the start of a long-term bullish phase. However, if the price remains below this level, the market is likely to remain in bearish mode, with a possible decline to support levels at $54,000 or lower.


Conclusion


Bitcoin is at an important crossroads. Buyers appear to be more active, and data indicators suggest their influence is growing. However, the key level of $78,000 is still unreached and will be crucial for the market’s further direction. Investors should be cautious, monitor developments on technical levels and keep in mind that the current relief period may only be temporary unless critical resistance levels are broken.


*This is not an investment recommendation.


The Coingarage Team